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Journal of Statistical and Mathematical Sciences

Peer-Reviewed Academic Journal
Research Article

ADVANCED STATISTICAL MODELS FOR PREDICTING TEMPERATURE EXTREMES IN BANGKOK

Authors & Affiliations
Prasert Somchai
Demonstration School of Nakhon Pathom Rajabhat University, Nakhonpathom 73000, Thailand
Siriluk Srisai
Department of Computational Science and Digital Technology, Faculty of Liberal Arts and Science, Kasetsart University, Kamphaeng Saen Campus, Nakhonpathom 73140, Thailand
Published: January 7, 2025
Volume 12, Issue 4 (2024)
Article ID: 831
Peer-Reviewed
Open Access
Abstract

In a world where climate change is accelerating due to human activities, understanding and predicting temperature variations have become critical. This study focuses on Bangkok, the bustling capital of Thailand, where economic activities and population density are high. Fluctuations in temperature are influenced by various factors, including greenhouse gas emissions, solar radiation, geographical location, and local conditions like ground and water surfaces. To address the challenge of temperature variability, this research employs simple time series analysis to develop statistical models for forecasting daily maximum and minimum temperatures in Bangkok. These models serve a vital purpose by helping residents, businesses, and policymakers prepare for and mitigate the impacts of meteorological phenomena. As global temperatures continue to rise, such predictive tools are invaluable for adapting to the changing climate and minimizing potential losses.

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